empty
29.07.2022 06:31 AM
USD/JPY dips sharply, S2 (133.52) acts as support

The USD/JPY pair plunged as expected. Now, it has reached a new low of 133.44. Technically, the quotes turned to the downside as the US dollar index dropped while the yen rallied. It was trading at 133.52 at the time of writing. It could approach new lows anytime.

Fundamentally, USD took a hit from the US Advance GDP which reported a -0.9% drop compared to a 0.4% growth expected. Today, the Japanese economic data is mixed. The Retail Sales indicator reported a 1.5% growth versus the forecast figure of 2.8%, the Prelim Industrial Production surged by 8.9% versus 4.3%. The unemployment rate remained steady at 2.6% even if traders expected a potential drop to 2.5%. The Tokyo Core CPI rose by 2.3% exceeding the 2.2% growth forecasted.

Later, the Housing Starts and the Consumer Confidence indicators will be released as well. USD could be saved only by better than expected US figures. Core PCE Price Index, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Personal Spending, Personal Income, and the Chicago PMI could change the sentiment.

USD/JPY Massive Sell-Off

This image is no longer relevant

As you can see on the H1 chart, USD/JPY dropped after retesting 135.56. I told you in yesterday's analysis that the pair could extend its sell-off as long as it stays under this level and after sliding below 135.23.

Now, it has stabilized below the descending pitchfork's median line (ml) which represented a downside obstacle. It has ignored the weekly S2 (133.52) signaling a further drop.

USD/JPY Outlook

Failing to stay above the median line (ml) and dropping below the 134.19 level signaled more declines. This was seen as a short opportunity. Now, personally, I'll wait for the price to rebound before trying to go short again. It could come back to test and retest the S2 (133.52) or the median line (ml) before dropping deeper.

A rebound could bring new selling opportunities with a potential downside target at the lower median line (lml). The bias remains bearish as long as it stays under the median line (ml).

Ralph Shedler,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

美元/日元:5月29日新手交易者的簡單交易提示。昨日外匯交易回顧

當MACD指標明顯超過零線時,144.59的價格測試發生了,這限制了貨幣對的上行潛力。基於此原因,我沒有購買美元。

Jakub Novak 08:43 2025-05-29 UTC+2

英鎊/美元:5月29日初學者的簡單交易技巧。昨日外匯交易回顧

當日下半場1.3461的價格測試發生在MACD指標已顯著跌至零軸以下,這限制了匯價的下跌潛力。因此,我沒有賣出英鎊。

Jakub Novak 08:43 2025-05-29 UTC+2

歐元/美元:5月29日針對初學交易者的簡單交易建議。昨日外匯交易回顧

當MACD指標已經顯著低於零線時,當天午後對1.1302價位的首次測試,限制了貨幣對的下行潛力。因此,我沒有選擇賣出歐元。

Jakub Novak 08:43 2025-05-29 UTC+2

5月29日給初級交易者的日內策略

歐元、英鎊以及其他風險資產,包括日元,持續快速下跌對美元,這是有其客觀原因的。 除了昨天美聯儲會議紀要未提供新信息之外,美元需求在美國國際貿易法庭推翻特朗普全球互惠關稅並命令政府停止執行的消息後增加。

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:33 2025-05-29 UTC+2

美元/日元:初學者交易者的簡單交易技巧 - 5月28日(美國交易時段)

交易分析及日元交易建議 首次測試144.14價格水平時,MACD已大幅低於零軸,這限制了匯價進一步下跌的潛力。因此,我沒有賣出美元。

Jakub Novak 18:39 2025-05-28 UTC+2

GBP/USD:初學者交易者的簡單交易提示——5月28日(美國交易時段)

英鎊的交易分析和建議 在今天上半天,當MACD指標從零線開始向上移動時,1.3488水平的測試恰好發生,這確認了一個良好的市場進入點。因此,該貨幣對上升了超過30個點。

Jakub Novak 18:37 2025-05-28 UTC+2

歐元/美元:初學者交易者的簡單交易提示——5月28日(美國時段)

歐元交易分析及建議 在第一次測試1.1327水準時,MACD指標已經顯著高於零標,這限制了該貨幣對在亞盤下跌後的上升潛力。第二次測試1.1327時,MACD處在超買區間,這使得賣出情境#2得以發揮作用,儘管貨幣對未能顯著下跌。

Jakub Novak 18:34 2025-05-28 UTC+2

USD/JPY:5月28日新手交易者的簡單交易提示。昨日外匯交易回顧

當MACD指標從零線開始上升時,價格測試144.35,確認了買入美元的有效進入點。然而,考慮到該貨幣對已經有顯著的上漲,並未出現新的上漲波動。

Jakub Novak 09:04 2025-05-28 UTC+2

GBP/USD:5月28日針對初學交易者的簡單交易技巧——昨日外匯交易回顧

在一天的後半段,1.3532的位置進行了價格測試,當時 MACD 指標已經顯著低於零線,限制了匯率下行的潛力。基於這個原因,我決定不出售英鎊。

Jakub Novak 09:04 2025-05-28 UTC+2

EUR/USD:5月28日新手交易員的簡單交易技巧。昨日外匯交易回顧

當日下半段測試1.1359的價格,這恰好與MACD指標剛剛開始從零線向上移動一致,這確認了買入歐元的正確進入點。結果,該貨幣對僅上漲了15個點,隨後賣壓再次回到市場。

Jakub Novak 09:04 2025-05-28 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.