empty
10.10.2022 02:27 PM
Eurobank: market risks do not take into account inflation growth

Klass Knot, a member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank, issued a statement today that markets still seem to be underestimating the risk that inflation could be higher than models predict. This loud statement could further contribute to the fall of the eurozone.

Eurobank: market risks do not take into account inflation growth

In particular, the President of De Nederlandsche Bank drew attention to the fact that the likelihood that in 2024 inflation could exceed the value of 2.3%, which everyone including the ECB is guided by, is quite high. However, it is obvious that the risk of such a scenario is not included in the market assessments yet.

Previously, the ECB has repeatedly stated that the risks of rising inflation in the future are growing. However, now the rhetoric of the European regulator feels vague and seems to depend on the current situation more than on any clear plan. And Klaas Knot decided to openly warn investors that large increases are ahead, which is tantamount to no loans at low rates.

Klaas Knot also noted that in the coming years, government support for households in response to rising energy prices could fuel inflation. In his conviction, the head of the Central Bank of the Netherlands is based on the fact that if support, such as that provided in Germany and the Netherlands, becomes the standard, then inflation and interest rates will rise further.

As such, Germany came under fire from other EU countries last week for introducing a package of measures to protect consumers from rising energy prices in 2023 and 2024, worth around 200 billion euros (194 billion dollars). Although, it is worth noting that against the background of the escalation of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia, such actions by the German government seem quite reasonable.

The Netherlands' plan to spend around 23 billion euros on capping energy prices next year is about the same amount per household.

Actually, it is unlikely that anyone will be surprised even by a significant increase in rates by the ECB at a meeting scheduled for the end of October. The question is how much it will help keep the economy afloat. Obviously, this will not be the last "belt-tightening" event.

Markets today are also concerned about rising wages in the euro area, which is essentially an expected response from manufacturers to current economic conditions and pressure from employees, but also threatens further inflation.

Egor Danilov,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

The Pound in a Trap: Why UK Inflation Is Scarier Than a US Recession

A new chapter is beginning on the currency market, and the British pound appears to be writing it. April's inflation data came as a real shock to investors: the UK's

Anna Zotova 00:05 2025-05-22 UTC+2

Falling indices, Tesla's surge, and Julius Baer's collapse: a day of sharp contrasts in the markets

Rge benchmark stock indices are falling: * Dow -0.27%, * S&P 500 -0.39%, * Nasdaq -0.38% Tesla is rising after Musk announced his willingness to return as CEO. Home Depot

12:40 2025-05-21 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 21

Following a staggering $8.6 trillion rally, the US market is showing signs of fatigue. Despite negative macroeconomic indicators and the recent US credit rating downgrade, Morgan Stanley maintains a bold

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:23 2025-05-21 UTC+2

The Dollar Is No Longer King. What You Need to Know

Historically, the U.S. dollar has been the primary safe haven during crises such as wars, sanctions, and banking shocks; investors tend to flock to the dollar as their ultimate safety

Anna Zotova 00:59 2025-05-21 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 20

Despite the downgrade of the US credit rating and rising Treasury yields, retail investors remain active buyers of equities. Net purchases have surged to a record $4 billion, signaling confidence

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:16 2025-05-20 UTC+2

Market Gains Modestly: Dow +0.32%, Nasdaq +0.02%, but Novavax Soars After Vaccine Approval

Dow Up 0.32%, S&P 500 Up 0.09%, Nasdaq Up 0.02% TXNM Energy Rises After Blackstone Deal Novavax Jumps After FDA Approval of Coronavirus Vaccine European Stocks Rise Slightly, as Utilities

Thomas Frank 11:18 2025-05-20 UTC+2

Bitcoin: What to Expect This Week. BTC Hits $107,000 – Can the Record Hold?

The leading cryptocurrency is fighting to maintain its position, even though it's not always smooth sailing. Currently, BTC is out in front, slightly simplifying the task of holding higher ground

Larisa Kolesnikova 00:40 2025-05-20 UTC+2

US consumption losing steam

In the upcoming week, Wall Street's attention will be focused on earnings reports from the largest US retail chains — crucial indicators of how changing trade conditions are impacting

13:30 2025-05-19 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 19

Despite encouraging statements about progress in trade negotiations and high-level diplomatic visits, forecasts for the S&P 500 remain restrained. Analysts point to the index's lack of growth compared

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:20 2025-05-19 UTC+2

The American consumer is slowing down: What Target, Lowe's and Walmart are saying

Wall Street will be focused on earnings reports from the largest US retailers this week to gauge how changing trade conditions are affecting the economy and whether the recent stock

Thomas Frank 10:35 2025-05-19 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.