empty
31.03.2025 03:21 AM
What to Pay Attention to on March 31? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports:

This image is no longer relevant

There are very few macroeconomic events scheduled for Monday. The only somewhat interesting reports will come from Germany. Retail sales and inflation data for March will be released. However, we'd like to remind you that Germany is just one of 27 countries in the European Union, so EU-wide indicators are naturally much more important for the euro. Nevertheless, German inflation data allows for a relatively accurate forecast of eurozone inflation overall. The Consumer Price Index is expected to remain at 2.3% for March.

Analysis of Fundamental Events:

This image is no longer relevant

There are no significant fundamental events scheduled. No speeches from central bank representatives of the EU, UK, or US are planned. No other fundamental developments are expected either. As a result, Monday is shaping up to be quite uneventful. However, let's not forget that Donald Trump remains the market's most powerful driver. Last Thursday, he imposed tariffs on car imports, and on April 2, he may introduce an additional package of tariffs against several countries around the world, mainly targeting the European Union.

General Conclusions:

On the first trading day of the new week, both currency pairs may resume the declines that have been building over recent weeks. However, the upcoming week will be filled with significant news and data releases, so traders won't be able to ignore everything. On top of that, Donald Trump is planning to "liberate America." Presumably from unfair treatment — but in practice, this means new tariffs. In short, both currency pairs may experience significant volatility in the week ahead.

Key Rules for the Trading System:

  1. Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.
  2. False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.
  3. Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.
  4. Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.
  5. MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.
  6. Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.
  7. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.

Key Chart Elements:

Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders.

Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading.

MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals.

Important speeches and reports, which are consistently featured in the news calendar, can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade with caution or consider exiting the market to avoid potential sharp price reversals against the prior trend.

Beginners in the Forex market should understand that not every transaction will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and practicing effective money management are crucial for achieving long-term success in trading.

Paolo Greco,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Market Chaos to Continue (There is a likelihood of continued local declines in #USDX and gold prices)

Markets continue to act blindly amid the chaotic actions of Donald Trump, who is trying to pull the U.S. out of a deep, all-encompassing crisis like Baron Munchausen pulling himself

Pati Gani 10:19 2025-05-23 UTC+2

The Market Tucks Its Tail

A necessary project at the wrong time. The House of Representatives has approved Donald Trump's tax cut initiative. The President hopes it will help stimulate the economy and offset shortcomings

Marek Petkovich 09:29 2025-05-23 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – May 23: No Talks, but Hang in There

On Thursday, the GBP/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly, but like EUR/USD, it has been rising for two weeks. At first glance, one might wonder what reasons traders have

Paolo Greco 08:15 2025-05-23 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – May 23: The Rebellion Against the Dollar Continues

The EUR/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Thursday, yet it has risen significantly over the past two weeks. This movement can be interpreted in several ways. From a technical

Paolo Greco 08:15 2025-05-23 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on May 23? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday. Only two are noteworthy: the final estimate of Germany's Q1 GDP and April's UK retail sales data. The German GDP report

Paolo Greco 05:58 2025-05-23 UTC+2

The "Big, Beautiful Bill" vs. Import Tariffs

At present, Donald Trump is focused on promoting what he calls the "Big, Beautiful Law." In the trade war, Trump has done everything he could—he imposed tariffs, then lowered them

Chin Zhao 00:23 2025-05-23 UTC+2

The Fed Is Not Ready to Act Before the Second Half of the Year

In recent reviews, I have repeatedly addressed the topic of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, market expectations, and the reality we all live in. I believe the market's expectations

Chin Zhao 00:23 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Canadian Inflation Resumed Growth. USD/CAD Overview

Core inflation in April unexpectedly rose higher than forecast, rising from 2.2% to 2.5% year-over-year. Headline inflation slowed from 2.3% to 1.7%, slightly above the forecast. The decline in headline

Kuvat Raharjo 00:23 2025-05-23 UTC+2

The Dollar Keeps Moving Forward

The approval by the House of Representatives of what Donald Trump called a "big and beautiful" tax-cut bill, along with a rise in the U.S. composite PMI from 50.6

Marek Petkovich 18:16 2025-05-22 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Weak Euro, Weak Dollar

The three-day bullish rally in EUR/USD has come to an end: today the pair retreated into the 1.12 zone. However, the dollar is in no position to guarantee a sustained

Irina Manzenko 18:09 2025-05-22 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.