empty
07.03.2023 11:49 PM
Where to find refuge: indecisiveness in the oil market

This image is no longer relevant

The price of crude oil has been in limbo. The fluctuations come against the backdrop of an upcoming important event that could seriously affect not only commodities, but also other markets. We are talking about the head of the Federal Reserve. Moreover, market participants are determined to receive clear signals about how the monetary policy in the country will change. This topic has been bothering them for the past few weeks.

So far, prices are unstable and highly susceptible to negative trends. Today, the value has mostly decreased, although it's nothing fatal yet, since it managed to strengthen well over the previous days.

Further movements will be clear after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will present the next report of the U.S. central bank.

This image is no longer relevant

Brent crude oil for May delivery fell by 0.75% at $85.53 a barrel on the London ICE Futures Exchange.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for April delivery also fell by 0.78% to $79.83 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. This level is still quite high and does not cause panic among market participants.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, morning trading reflected the growth of oil prices, which, however, could not strengthen and become a trend for the day. We can only hope that oil prices will not fall further.

Investors are closely watching what is happening in the United States of America. Powell is set to deliver speeches in Congress for two days. The most important point will be signals about a change in the course of monetary policy. Oil is highly dependent on which way the Fed decides to go. First of all, it is worth remembering that an increase in the level of the base interest rate will have an extremely negative impact on the oil market, as well as on other commodities. Oil prices will inevitably go down, and this threatens with serious consequences.

Most analysts have already spoken out about possible changes. The main part believes that the Fed will follow through with a 25 bps rate hike. This will lead to an increase in the rate to the level of 4.75-5%.

However, there are several other events that are no less important for the oil market.

Firstly, the situation around Saudi Arabia attracts a lot of attention, namely, the country's decision to raise the level of selling prices for the export of petroleum products. In particular, we are talking about April deliveries to Asia and Europe. The increase will be from 0.3 to 1 dollar per barrel, depending on the region-importer. Recall that this is the second consecutive increase from Saudi Arabia. It is dictated mainly by the growing demand for oil. This growth can force prices in the markets to go up.

Secondly, the Russian export of hydrocarbons causes concern. The country has already announced a voluntary production cut of 0.5 million barrels per day, but in reality this figure turned out to be much more. Last week, production fell by 3.1 million barrels per day. While this event looks more like an isolated case, however, no one can guarantee that this will not be repeated in the future and will not become a trend. This also potentially drives up the cost of raw materials.

In general, the situation on the market is still favorable, but at the same time, a bit uncertain. Oil will calm down and hold steady only after Powell's speech, and only if the central bank does not present some kind of surprise.

Maria Shablon,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Apple melonjak. Pelabur saham memberi amaran kepada laporan Netflix

Saham AS mencetak keuntungan sederhana kerana tarif ke atas beberapa barangan elektronik telah ditangguhkan. Saham teknologi lebih berprestasi daripada rakan sejawatan Eropah dan Asia, dengan saham Apple melonjak. Goldman Sachs

11:42 2025-04-15 UTC+2

Ringkasan Berita Pasaran Amerika Syarikat untuk 15 April

Pentadbiran Trump telah membuat konsesi: tarif ke atas elektronik telah ditangguhkan sementara, dan syarat yang lebih longgar untuk industri automotif sedang dipertimbangkan. Langkah-langkah ini mencetuskan reaksi positif — S&P

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:29 2025-04-15 UTC+2

Ringkasan Berita Pasaran AS untuk 14 April

Pasaran saham AS meningkat selepas Presiden Donald Trump mengumumkan penghapusan tarif ke atas komputer dan telefon pintar. Keputusan ini memberikan dorongan yang sangat kuat kepada syarikat seperti Apple, mencetuskan pemulihan

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:09 2025-04-14 UTC+2

Ringkasan Berita Pasaran Amerika Syarikat untuk 11 April

Indeks Saham AS Menjunam Selepas Kenaikan Baru-Baru Ini Meskipun Penangguhan Tarif Oleh Trump Selepas lonjakan luar biasa pada hari Rabu yang dicetuskan oleh pengumuman Presiden Donald Trump mengenai penangguhan tarif

Natalia Andreeva 15:28 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Bitcoin Masih Bergelut Mencari Sokongan Ketika Pasaran Global Dilanda Ketidaktentuan Tarif

Mata wang kripto terkemuka masih berada dalam keadaan terpisah, tidak dapat menetapkan dasar yang kukuh. Bitcoin mengalami ketidakstabilan yang ketara dan mencatat kerugian minggu ini. Namun begitu, pakar tetap optimis

Larisa Kolesnikova 14:38 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Ringkasan Berita Pasaran Amerika Syarikat untuk 10 April

S&P 500 Catat Lonjakan Bersejarah, tetapi Paras 5,669 Kekal Sebagai Halangan Utama Indeks S&P 500 mencatat salah satu lonjakan harian terbesar dalam beberapa bulan kebelakangan ini. Pergerakan menaik mula perlahan

Irina Maksimova 12:58 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Ringkasan Berita Pasaran Amerika Syarikat untuk 9 April

Dow, NASDAQ, dan S&P 500 Menjunam susulan daripada Rumah Putih Tingkatkan Tekanan terhadap China Indeks saham AS ditutup lebih rendah selepas Rumah Putih mengumumkan gelombang baharu tarif ke atas barangan

Irina Maksimova 12:33 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Ramalan "Emas": Emas pada $3,500, $3,700 – Terus Meningkat?

Ramalan harga emas semakin menarik dalam setiap aspek, kerana penganalisis kelihatan bersaing sesama sendiri tentang sejauh mana logam berharga ini boleh naik. Ketidakstabilan geopolitik yang semakin meningkat dan Presiden Donald

Larisa Kolesnikova 11:07 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Pasaran Tidak Menentu: Dow Menjunam, Emas Melonjak, Trump Terus Buat Pelabur Gelisah

Perubahan dalam indeks Wall Street dalam tempoh 24 jam yang lalu: S&P 500 jatuh sebanyak 0.23%, Nasdaq naik sebanyak 0.10%, dan Dow merosot sebanyak 0.91%. S&P 500 masih berada

12:25 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Ringkasan Berita Pasaran Amerika Syarikat untuk 8 April

Tindakan tarif terbaharu daripada pentadbiran Trump sedang mengubah jangkaan ekonomi. Goldman Sachs kini meramalkan kemelesetan ekonomi dalam tempoh 12 bulan akan datang, manakala penganalisis JPMorgan menjangka pemotongan 0.3% terhadap pertumbuhan

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:14 2025-04-08 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.